Speculation, Luck and Success

One of the most interesting and difficult aspects of playing Magic: The Gathering is speculating. What is speculating anyway? Basically it is the act of getting cards in the present for a lower price with the intention of eventually selling them for a higher price. In addition, speculating is not limited to simply buying a card but also in trading cards. And do not get the wrong idea that you are just simply trading or buying randomly but as much as possible, you are doing so on the basis that you will eventually get value out of the trade.

Jace, The Mind Sculptor

Thou shall know my worth!

Speculation has more to do with earning a profit through price changes in the Magic market in general. It is some sort of a gamble wherein you purchase cards in the presumption that they will eventually increase in value in the future. Speculating about MTG card value is really challenging. It does not mean that when you purchase a lot of cards of a particular type is that you will automatically benefit from them but rather, a card’s price depends on how high the demand for that particular card is and how much supply is left.

In a way, it is like a hit or miss. However, with experience and exposure in the tournament environment, you will be able to improve your metagame analysis, which can help you figure out which cards have the potential to be utilized in decks. In turn, you will come to the point of knowing if a card’s price has the potential to increase in the near-future or if the card’s price will dip instead. Overall, it takes a lot of time, effort and experience for a person to be able to improve his speculating skills.